1860 München vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
MUN
1 - 3
BAY
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
FSV
3 - 2
MUN
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
MUN
3 - 1
SSV
89%
9%
2%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
PIR
4 - 1
MUN
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
AUG
2 - 1
FSV
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
SSV
2 - 0
AUG
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
AUG
1 - 2
PIR
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
SAA
2 - 0
AUG
58%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
AUG
3 - 1
STU
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |