1860 München II vs FC Deisenhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
7º
1º
29
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 60 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 56 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
32% | 13% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
MEM
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
186
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
186
0 - 0
ERL
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
186
1 - 0
LAN
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 2
186
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Deisenhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEI
2 - 0
ISM
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 7
DEI
50%
22%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
DEI
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DEI
3 - 1
KIR
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 1
DEI
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |