11 Oktomvri vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
11 Oktomvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
11O
6 - 1
VST
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VLA
2 - 1
11O
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
11O
1 - 1
GOS
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OHR
3 - 2
11O
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
11O
2 - 1
NOV
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
TET
2 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
FKS
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SIL
0 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |