Union Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
CHE
0 - 0
FCU
70%
17%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
BWA
2 - 0
FCU
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
FCU
1 - 2
HAL
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
ROS
5 - 0
FCU
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
FCU
1 - 1
CZJ
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
ERF
2 - 0
BWA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
HAL
3 - 0
ERF
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
ERF
0 - 1
ROS
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1988 |
CZJ
3 - 0
ERF
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
ERF
3 - 1
COT
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |