Union Berlin vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
ROS
3 - 2
FCU
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
FCU
0 - 0
BWA
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCU
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
FCU
6 - 1
HAL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
SGD
2 - 0
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
BFC
2 - 0
MAG
71%
16%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
BFC
4 - 2
CHE
81%
12%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
CHL
1 - 2
BFC
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
BFC
2 - 1
ROM
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
BFC
1 - 2
FVF
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |