Oberliga Niederrhein round 27

1.FC Monheim vs Homberg analysis

1.FC Monheim Homberg
30 ELO 42
-8.1% Tilt 4.8%
33324º General ELO ranking 12479º
1257º Country ELO ranking 309º
ELO win probability
14%
1.FC Monheim
16.2%
Draw
69.8%
Homberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
1.FC Monheim
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
69.8%
Win probability
Homberg
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1.FC Monheim
-23%
+52%
Homberg

ELO progression

1.FC Monheim
Homberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1.FC Monheim
1.FC Monheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2019
NET
SC Union Nettetal
3 - 3
1.FC Monheim
1FC
22%
21%
58%
30 22 8 0
31 Mar. 2019
1FC
1.FC Monheim
2 - 1
SC Velbert
VEL
54%
21%
25%
28 25 3 +2
24 Mar. 2019
SPE
Speldorf
1 - 4
1.FC Monheim
1FC
38%
21%
42%
28 22 6 0
17 Mar. 2019
1FC
1.FC Monheim
1 - 1
FC Bocholt
FCB
35%
23%
43%
27 32 5 +1
10 Mar. 2019
DUS
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
1 - 2
1.FC Monheim
1FC
42%
22%
36%
26 25 1 +1

Matches

Homberg
Homberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2019
VFB
Homberg
2 - 0
Meerbusch
MEE
73%
17%
11%
42 31 11 0
31 Mar. 2019
VEL
Velbert
2 - 2
Homberg
VFB
14%
18%
69%
42 28 14 0
23 Mar. 2019
VFB
Homberg
3 - 2
Kleve
KLE
73%
17%
10%
42 29 13 0
17 Mar. 2019
FSV
FSV Duisburg
0 - 7
Homberg
VFB
6%
12%
82%
42 16 26 0
05 Mar. 2019
VFB
Homberg
1 - 0
Schalke 04 II
S04
52%
24%
24%
42 40 2 0