1.FC Monheim vs Schonnebeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
17º
13º
42
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 60 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
35% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 79% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1.FC Monheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KLE
3 - 3
1FC
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 1
TEU
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
1FC
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 0
MEE
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 1
1FC
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Schonnebeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 2
NET
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KLE
0 - 0
SCH
8%
15%
77%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SFN
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
2 - 0
SCH
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 2
FCB
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |