Bundesliga round 23

Köln vs Stuttgart analysis

Köln Stuttgart
74 ELO 86
4.3% Tilt 5.1%
167º General ELO ranking 40º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.4%
Köln
24.9%
Draw
47.7%
Stuttgart

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
Köln
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.7%
Win probability
Stuttgart
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
+1%
+1%
Stuttgart

ELO progression

Köln
Stuttgart
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2010
S04
Schalke 04
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
63%
22%
15%
75 88 13 0
10 Feb. 2010
AUG
FC Augsburg
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
41%
25%
34%
76 72 4 -1
06 Feb. 2010
KOL
Köln
3 - 3
Hamburger SV
HSV
23%
24%
54%
76 87 11 0
30 Jan. 2010
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
54%
24%
22%
75 78 3 +1
24 Jan. 2010
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Köln
KOL
70%
18%
12%
74 85 11 +1

Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2010
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 3
Hamburger SV
HSV
38%
25%
37%
86 87 1 0
06 Feb. 2010
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 2
Stuttgart
STU
24%
25%
51%
86 77 9 0
31 Jan. 2010
STU
Stuttgart
4 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
43%
25%
32%
85 85 0 +1
22 Jan. 2010
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
27%
25%
48%
85 73 12 0
16 Jan. 2010
STU
Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
41%
25%
34%
85 85 0 0