Köln vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
BYM
2 - 2
KOL
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
KOL
0 - 1
HSV
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
RTV
4 - 0
KOL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 2
HAN
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
WOL
2 - 3
KOL
10%
16%
74%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SGF
2 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
M05
1 - 3
SGF
49%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SGF
2 - 2
WAC
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 2
SGF
18%
23%
60%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |