Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-0
Köln vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1970 |
OFC
4 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
KOL
2 - 0
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
TNV
0 - 1
KOL
38%
25%
38%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
47%
24%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
TNV
0 - 1
KOL
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
TNV
3 - 1
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
HER
1 - 0
TNV
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
2 - 0
TNV
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TNV
2 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |