Köln vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
STU
0 - 0
KOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
BVB
3 - 3
KOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
KOL
1 - 3
BRE
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
MUN
3 - 1
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
KOL
4 - 0
COT
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 1
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
MUN
0 - 4
KAI
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
MUN
2 - 3
NEW
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
MUN
3 - 1
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
RKC
1 - 2
MUN
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |