Caledonian Braves vs Hearts II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
5º
19
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 78 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 72 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 65 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 64 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 52 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 41 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 39 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 37 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 26 |
18º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caledonian Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
CBF
1 - 1
BRX
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STI
0 - 2
CBF
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 2
CBF
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
0 - 0
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
3 - 2
STI
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
HOM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 2
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 2
BON
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 0
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STI
2 - 2
HOM
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |