Caledonian Braves vs Hearts II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
3º
15
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 71 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 56 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 55 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caledonian Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STI
0 - 2
CBF
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 2
CBF
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
0 - 0
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
3 - 2
STI
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
CBF
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
HOM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 2
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 2
BON
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 0
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STI
2 - 2
HOM
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |